Universität Bonn

Department of Economics

MEF-Seminar Summer 2025

Harald Fadinger (University of Vienna)

Industrial policies, while often aimed at domestic industries, can spur technological progress abroad. We document this mechanism in the case of rare earth elements (REE) – critical inputs for manufacturing and the green transformation, with low elasticity of substitution, inelastic supply, and high production and processing concentration in China. Using REE-related patents classified by a large language model, sectoral TFP data, and matched trade data, we show that the introduction of REE export restrictions led to a global surge in innovation and exports in REE-intensive downstream sectors outside of China. To quantify the global impact of the adverse REE supply shock, we develop a quantitative general equilibrium model of trade and directed technological change. Under endogenous technologies, input-supply restrictions shift the direction of innovation in downstream sectors toward scarce inputs when inputs are gross complements, which can lead to the expansion of these sectors.
Time
Wednesday, 07.05.25 - 12:15 PM - 01:30 PM
Topic
Industrial Policy, Supply Chains and Directed Technological Change: Evidence from Rare Earths
Location
Juridicum, Adenauerallee 24-42
Room
Faculty Room
Reservation
not required
Organizer
Institute for Macroeconomics and Econometrics
Add event to calendar
Wird geladen